Although a handful of seats are yet to be filled, it is expected that Fianna Fáil will be the largest party with 48 seats, Fine Gael will have 38 TDs and Sinn Féin will 39 seats.  With a likely total of 86 seats,

Kieran O'Leary, from the firm, pointed to the low turnout of 59.7% for skewing the data and affecting its model. He said there were anecdotal reports of a higher decline in turnout among young voters than among older voters. He added it was also possible the decline was more severe in urban areas than in rural areas.

Fianna Fáil is predicted to become the biggest party in the Dail with 45 seats, Sinn Féin the second largest with 40 and Fine Gael the third with 39 – once the counting of votes in General Election 2024 has concluded.